The 21st century is characterized not only by large-scale transformations but also by the speed with which they occur. Transformations—political, economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal-in synergy have always been a catalyst for reactions in society. The field of energy supply, like many others, is extremely susceptible to the external influence of such factors. To a large extent, this applies to remote (especially from the position of energy supply) regions. The authors outline an approach to justifying the development of the Arctic energy infrastructure through an analysis of the demand for the amount of energy consumed and energy sources, taking into account global trends. The methodology is based on scenario modeling of technological demand. It is based on a study of the specific needs of consumers, available technologies, and identified risks. The paper proposes development scenarios and presents a model that takes them into account. Modeling results show that in all scenarios, up to 50% of the energy balance in 2035 will take gas, but the role of carbon-free energy sources will increase. The mathematical model allowed forecasting the demand for energy types by certain types of consumers, which makes it possible to determine the vector of development and stimulation of certain types of resources for energy production in the Arctic. The model enables considering not only the growth but also the decline in demand for certain types of consumers under different scenarios. In addition, authors’ forecasts, through further modernization of the energy sector in the Arctic region, can contribute to the creation of prerequisites that will be stimulating and profitable for the growth of investment in sustainable energy sources to supply consumers. The scientific significance of the work lies in the application of a consistent hybrid modeling approach to forecasting demand for energy resources in the Arctic region. The results of the study are useful in drafting a scenario of regional development, taking into account the Sustainable Development Goals, as well as identifying areas of technology and energy infrastructure stimulation.

The research considers conducting orthogonal experiment (OT) as one of the stages in developing a new discrete element method (DEM) parameters calibration approach. The measured responses in experiment are the parameters obtained by DEM animation processing using machine vision system (MVS). The variable factors in experiment are DEM parameters. A brief overview of an existing calibration approaches given in the article. The choice of OT as a design of experiment tool among other mathematical tools discussed. Experiments conducted using specially developed rig where bulk material's flow captured as DEM animation. DEM animation converted to video and then processed using MVS that allow register the values of such parameters as angle of repose or expiration time (measured responses). The results of the OT show that it is possible to identify four measured responses with the most valuable correlation coefficient. DEM parameters with the biggest influence on the measured responses identified for each of the obtained regression. Obtained results are useful in learning or iterative algorithms development for DEM parameters calibration.

The article presents the results of experimental investigations of the magnitude and nature of change loads drive of mine shuttle car VS-30 used to deliver ore to extraction chambers in potash mines. The design of program-recording complex "VATUR" developed by employees of the department "Mining Electrical Engineering" Perm National Research Polytechnic University. In the investigation of operating modes of the drive of self-propelled mine wagons were carried out measurements and recording the instantaneous values of voltage and current of electric motors, calculated values of active and apparent power consumed by the motor pump stations and bottom conveyors of mine shuttle car. Carried out investigations modes of operation and changing loads on the units and details of the tram drive. It is proved that the operation of electric motors of the mine shuttle cars increased characterized by a systematic overload. Outdated system controlling the rotational speed of shafts drive motor gives rise to considerable dynamic loads on components of mechanical transmissions for shuttle cars. Significant loss of time causing the reduction in technical performance longwall set of equipment of potash mines arises during the maneuvering operations and unloading ore from shuttle cars. Based on the analysis of the change of loading drives and statistics of dangerous failures were justified the technical solutions to improve the reliability of mine shuttle car. The recommendations to increase the efficiency of transporting potash in the longwall set of equipment, improving maneuverability of self-propelled cars and reduce downtime for unloading are given.